FIGHT TAPE
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Nurullo Aliev
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The first takedown might just start the fight.
Dawson submitted Mateusz Rebecki after losing to Manuel Torres. Aliev’s most recent listed win is a decision over Mike Davis. Both arrive with wrestling-heavy UFC numbers. I’d watch the position after a takedown rather than celebrate the entry by itself. Can the man underneath build up? Can the man on top keep attacking? Two wrestlers can give you a striking match, a scramble festival or a very long argument against the fence.
A PATH FOR Dawson
Turn takedowns into sustained offense and force Aliev to defend from underneath.
A PATH FOR Aliev
Wrestle through the first exchange and deny Dawson a settled attacking position.
The tactical read and paths are editorial possibilities, not a pick or a claim of fresh footage review. Results come from the sources in the fighter profiles below.
The numbers, with context.
| Grant Dawson | Measure | Nurullo Aliev |
|---|---|---|
| 24-3-1 | Pro record | 12-0-0 |
| 70.00 | Height (inches) | 70.00 |
| 72.00 | Reach (inches) | 72.00 |
| 3.14 | Significant strikes landed / min | 2.29 |
| 2.14 | Significant strikes absorbed / min | 1.59 |
| 3.58 | Takedowns / 15 min | 3.48 |
Rates are the figures published on UFC athlete pages, not full professional-career averages. Different sample sizes and opponents make direct comparisons imperfect. Blank values are not zero.
PRICE CHECK
SNAPSHOTS · NOT LIVEOdds on the record.
American moneylines. These are observed reference prices, not offers to bet or a claim of the best available line. The time we checked a page is not the time its sportsbook changed a price.
Grant Dawson
-125Sportsbook not identifiedShown on UFC’s event page
Source date: 2026-10-19
Page checked: Oct 19, 2026, 4:40 PM CDT
Sportsbook update: unknown
-114BetOnlineReported by FightBook MMA
Source date: 2026-10-14
Page checked: Oct 17, 2026, 12:49 PM CDT
Sportsbook update: unknown
Nurullo Aliev
+105Sportsbook not identifiedShown on UFC’s event page
Source date: 2026-10-19
Page checked: Oct 19, 2026, 4:40 PM CDT
Sportsbook update: unknown
-106BetOnlineReported by FightBook MMA
Source date: 2026-10-14
Page checked: Oct 17, 2026, 12:49 PM CDT
Sportsbook update: unknown
Inside-the-distance, method and double-method prices are not verified in this guide. Mike’s recorded prices and units remain in his own pick history.
Mike’s picks & recorded prices ↗Meet the fighters.
Claim ledger & coverage notes
Booking, division and card placement: UFC event listing, checked Oct 19, 2026, 4:40 PM CDT. Results: written UFC history or the correction cited in each fighter’s profile. Measurements and rates: dated UFC profile snapshots. Prices: individual quote sources and retrieval times in the odds panel.
Style discussion and possible routes to victory are editorial interpretation. Current camp lineups, future results, live odds and model probabilities are not established by these sources.
Grant Dawson
Specific training partners for this camp have not been verified.
Nurullo Aliev
Current gym not confirmed in the reviewed UFC biography.
Specific training partners for this camp have not been verified.
Card check & sources
14 matchups confirmed in UFC’s current listing. Order, timing and participants can change.
Official UFC event ↗ · Inspected UFC regional listing ↗
Card retrieved Oct 19, 2026, 4:40 PM CDT. Exact UTC timestamp: .